FEATURES / Assisted suicide
A life or death question
Opinion polls indicate high levels of support for assisted dying. But one of the UK’s leading pollsters warns that the public debate on the issue is framed by questions that contain dangerous assumptions and imperfect information / By ANDREW HAWKINS
MOST PUBLIC opinion polls have shown consistent and generally extensive public support for assisted suicide. But the picture is not so simple. Notwithstanding that this issue is literally one of life and death, on any complex issue spanning legal, socioeconomic and medical issues, the public can be easily misled.
If hard cases make bad law, they also make for sensationalist media stories which can tug on heartstrings but do not always reflect the whole story. For example, to produce a poll showing public “support” for the death penalty is easy, but to design and conduct a poll which takes account of the many complex arguments that its reintroduction would involve is far harder.
Pollsters have for years posed questions which contain dangerous assumptions and imperfect information. We have a heavily misguided debate and need a renewed focus on reasoned and rational arguments. Nonetheless, apparent support for euthanasia is hard to deny. That said, several repeated and problematic semantic issues are evident. Moreover, our most recent poll shows people’s views are more nuanced than the headlines suggest.
The first semantic issue arises when assisted suicide is linked to those who have an “incurable illness”, “six months to live”, or “unbearable pain”. Doctors themselves assert that patients often do not die within the forecast timescale. And what does “unbearable” pain mean in the modern era of effective palliative care?
The second type of problematic phrasing is seen in questions using hypothetical emotive scenarios. Pollsters have a description for such questions and it is not a polite one: they are called “heartless bastard” questions because respondents answer in the way intended by the client or risk being regarded as cold-hearted. “Do you want your nearest and dearest to be in unnecessary agony?” No, I thought not.
The third semantic problem is the guarantee that patients who receive assistance to commit suicide always express a “clear indication of a willingness to die”. As with the assumption that no miscarriage of justice can ever occur in the debate around capital punishment, the reality for assisted suicide is that informed, unpressured consent can never be guaranteed.
A 2005 poll showed that even people who support assisted suicide concede that some vulnerable older people could be manipulated into it. It is clearly misleading for questions to imply that the decision to choose assisted suicide would never be influenced by external pressure.
PHOTO: ALAMY/PA, DANNY LAWSON
Kim Leadbeater’s private member’s bill is expected to have government backing
A further problem with how the pollster puts the question is that assisted suicide is often presented as a pain-free, immediate and peaceful option. Yet deaths can take hours and, in some horrific cases, patients can regain consciousness and die days later. Polls conducted to advance a particular policy almost never address such (false) assumptions.
There is also the tendency of some polls to frame a question to achieve a specific answer. One of the more egregious examples was in a 2015 poll for Dignity in Dying, the organisation that campaigns for the legalisation of voluntary euthanasia. The poll question contained a mind-numbing 139-word introduction setting out the safeguards without mention of any downsides. The poll, which found 82 per cent in support of assisted suicide, was hailed as “the largest ever”, as if a large sample size would magically compensate for its flawed wording. Worse still, Dignity in Dying claimed, by using a frankly lazy filter question to ascertain religious affiliations, that 80 per cent of “Christians” supported assisted suicide. Such poor habits tend to be used to show that a proposed change in the law is so reasonable that even “Christians” support it.
ALTERNATIVELY, and strikingly, a ComRes poll in 2014 for Christian Action Research and Education (CARE) showed that opinions on assisted suicide change when the information in the question is improved. In essence, the more people know about what assisted suicide entails, the more squeamish they feel about it. Seventy-three per cent agreed with a Bill then going through the House of Lords to legalise assisted suicide. Of those who agreed, we asked a series of follow-up questions providing additional information. We then asked whether they still supported assisted suicide or if the new information had changed their mind. We told respondents that the country’s major disability rights advocacy groups all opposed a change to the law. As a result, more than one in 10 (12 per cent) previous assisted suicide supporters changed their minds and a further quarter said they did not know. We then offered respondents the claim that some vulnerable people might access assisted suicide so as not to be a burden on family (which is a consistent finding in Oregon, whose Death with Dignity Act is seen as the paragon we should follow). This led to a further decrease in support to 47 per cent among a hitherto 100 per cent supportive cohort. In other words, with just modest additional information reflecting actual experience in jurisdictions where assisted suicide is already legal, hypothetical supporters reconsidered their position very dramatically indeed. More thoughtfully designed polls consistently show two important realities about public opinion. First, the public are highly susceptible to excessively emotive language. Second, the more people are made aware of some of the unintended consequences of assisted suicide, the more support for it decreases.
Indeed, the public are compassionate, but that compassion appears often wrongly directed at support for what is defined as assisted suicide by lobby groups but in reality is something altogether different. Thus, the 2021 Survation poll of 1,032 British adults asked what people understood by the term “assisted dying”. Strikingly, most of the sample – 52 per cent – thought the term meant good palliative care. Importantly, this suggests that more than half of the people answering such polls about assisted suicide or “assisted dying” might have been mistaken about the very thing they are being asked about. If half the public were to conflate assisted suicide with palliative care, we should treat all simple onequestion polling on the issue with scepticism.
In our Whitestone poll conducted in June 2024 for Living and Dying Well, a think tank that “researches and analyses the evidence surrounding the end-of-life debate”, we found that public understanding of what “assisted dying” actually entails had improved, with 78 per cent correctly defining the term when asked. However, this greater understanding had not affected the public’s scepticism and concern towards assisted dying. Sixty per cent of the 2,001 people surveyed supported legalising assisted suicide. However, 46 per cent felt there were too many complicating factors to make it a practical and safe option for Great
4 | THE TABLET | 12 OCTOBER 2024
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